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    河南商丘市城市内涝灾害风险评估

    Risk evaluation of urban waterlogging disasters in Shangqiu City, Henan Province

    • 摘要: 近些年我国城市内涝发生频次显著增加,内涝灾害造成的直接经济损失数额巨大。利用降水、数字高程模型、人口和社会经济等数据对河南商丘市城市内涝灾害风险进行了评估;根据各因子及其权重建立商丘市内涝灾害风险评估模型,定量计算各因子的内涝灾害风险指数,将各项数据叠加得到商丘市城市内涝灾害风险指数,并对高低风险区进行了划分,发现高风险区主要位于中心城区,风险高低分布从中心向四周递减;最后依据内涝积水数据对评估结果进行检验,得出评估结果具有较高的可信度。

       

      Abstract: In recent year, urban waterlogging disasters has been increasing significantly in China, causing heavy economic losses. This paper uses precipitation, DEM, population and socio-economic data to evaluate the urban waterlogging disaster risk in Shangqiu. The methodology involves establishing a risk evaluation model for waterlog-ging disasters in Shangqiu based on each factors and their weights; calculating quantitative waterlogging disaster risk index of each factor. Then, the risk index of urban waterlogging disaster in Shangqiu is obtained by superim-posing the data, and the high and low risk areas are divided. It is founded that high-risk areas are mainly located in the central urban area, and the distribution of risk is decreasing from the center to the surrounding area. Final-ly, the evaluation results are tested based on the waterlogging data, and it is founded that the results have high reli-ability.

       

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