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    极端大暴雨对城市防洪的警示和思考

    Warning and thoughts of extreme rainstorm on urban flood prevention

    • 摘要: 2021年7月20日郑州发生的极端大暴雨造成了严重的洪涝灾害。为总结经验教训、分析灾害原因,将郑州暴雨过程分别移植到深圳市、北京市,利用城市洪涝仿真模型进行模拟推演。模拟分析结果认为,此次极端暴雨无论发生在深圳还是北京,都会产生严重的洪涝灾害,都有河道漫溢、严重积水的情况发生。单一地通过工程措施提高城市防洪标准的做法,可以应对标准内的降雨,但无法应对超标准的极端暴雨事件。因此,建议从流域、区域、城市层面进行城市防洪和内涝治理的联排联调,统筹管理;提前模拟不同降雨条件下尤其是超标准大暴雨的城市内涝风险,预测、评估城市承灾能力;制定、完善预警指标和防汛管理应急响应预案,提高政府综合协调能力。在暴雨到来之前,及时发布预警和提示信息,快速指导各相关部门和市民做出必要的防范措施,保障市民的生命安全,降低财产损失。

       

      Abstract: On July 20,2021,extreme rainstorm occurred in Zhengzhou,resulting in serious flood disaster. In this paper, the rainstorm conditions in Zhengzhou are transplanted to Shenzhen and Beijing respectively, and the urban flood simulation model is used to simulate in order to sum up the experiences and lessons and analyze the causes of this disaster.The simulation analysis results show that had the extreme rainstorm occurred in Shenzhen or Beijing, it would have produced serious flood disasters, river overflow and serious ponding.The single practice of improving the urban flood control and drainage standard through engineering measures can deal with the rainfall within the design standard, but cannot deal with the extreme rainstorm events exceeding the design standard. Therefore,it is suggested to carry out joint drainage,joint commissioning and overall management of urban flood and waterlogging at the river basin, regional and urban levels; Simulate the urban waterlogging and ponding risk under different rainfall conditions, especially the exceeding standard rainstorm,predict and evaluate the urban disaster bearing capacity,formulate and improve early warning indicators and flood control management emergency response plan, improve the government's comprehensive coordination ability,timely issue early warning and prompt information before the rainstorm, and quickly guide relevant departments and citizens to take necessary preventive measures, protect the life safety of citizens and reduce property losses.

       

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