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    极端枯水情景下跨流域调水工程供水潜力研究

    Research on the water supply potential of inter-basin water transfer projects under extreme drought scenarios

    • 摘要: 极端枯水或连续枯水严重威胁重要城市群的供水安全。以陕西省引汉济渭工程为例,构建了跨流域调水工程的供水调度模型,选取嘉陵江、汉江、渭河多个流域的典型年和枯水年组作为调度时段,设置引汉济渭跨流域调水、引嘉入汉和引汉济渭的联合调水2种方案,通过求解和对比2种方案的供水量,挖掘在极端枯水情景下调水工程的供水潜力。结果表明:①在95%的特枯年,联合供水方案比仅考虑引汉济渭工程多调水0.61亿m3;②在3~5 a的连续枯水情景下,联合供水方案比仅考虑引汉济渭工程多调水1.55亿~3.12亿m3。研究成果表明,联合供水方案可显著增强供水能力,缓解陕西关中地区大城市群的供水矛盾,为跨流域调水工程应对极端枯水的潜力挖掘提供科学依据。

       

      Abstract: Extreme or continuous drought seriously threatens the water supply safety of important urban agglomerations. Taking the example of the Hanjiang River to Weihe River Water Diversion Project in Shaanxi Province, a water supply scheduling model for interbasin water transfer projects was constructed. Typical years and dry year groups from multiple basins, including Jialing River, Hanjiang River, and Weihe River, were selected as scheduling periods. Two schemes were set up: inter-basin water transfer from Hanjiang River to Weihe River, joint water transfer from Jialing River to Hanjiang River, and joint water transfer from Hanjiang River to Weihe River. By solving and comparing the water supply volumes of the two schemes, the water supply potential of the water transfer project in extreme dry conditions was explored. The results show that:① In 95% of extremely dry years, the joint water supply scheme can divert an additional 61 million m3 of water compared to only considering the Hanjiang River to Weihe River Water Diversion Project.② In the 3~5 year continuous dry season scenario, the joint water supply scheme can divert an additional 155 million~312 million m3 of water compared to only considering the Hanjiang River to Weihe River Water Diversion Project. The research results show that the joint water supply scheme can significantly enhance the water supply capacity, alleviate the water supply contradiction of large urban agglomerations in Guanzhong, Shaanxi, and provide scientific basis for the potential exploration of cross basin water transfer projects to cope with extreme dry season.

       

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