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    徐锋. 1961—2021年华南地区复合干旱-高温变化[J]. 中国防汛抗旱, 2024, 34(5): 38-44. DOI: 10.16867/j.issn.1673-9264.2023245
    引用本文: 徐锋. 1961—2021年华南地区复合干旱-高温变化[J]. 中国防汛抗旱, 2024, 34(5): 38-44. DOI: 10.16867/j.issn.1673-9264.2023245
    XU Feng. Changes of concurrent drought and hot extremes in South China during 1961-2021[J]. China Flood & Drought Management, 2024, 34(5): 38-44. DOI: 10.16867/j.issn.1673-9264.2023245
    Citation: XU Feng. Changes of concurrent drought and hot extremes in South China during 1961-2021[J]. China Flood & Drought Management, 2024, 34(5): 38-44. DOI: 10.16867/j.issn.1673-9264.2023245

    1961—2021年华南地区复合干旱-高温变化

    Changes of concurrent drought and hot extremes in South China during 1961-2021

    • 摘要: 近几十年,我国华南地区遭受干旱和高温的影响越来越严重,当干旱和极端高温即复合干旱-高温同时发生时,对人类经济、社会和自然生态环境造成的危害更大。基于264个气象站的逐日降雨和高温数据,探究了1961—2021年华南地区(包括广西、广东、福建和海南4省(自治区))复合干旱-高温的时空变化。研究发现,华南大部分地区复合干旱-高温事件的频率呈上升趋势,尤其是广东珠三角地区,其趋势为0.89 d/10 a,而广西大部分地区呈现负增长趋势。在复合干旱-高温频率变化方面,1992—2021年华南地区的复合干旱-高温事件发生频率大于1961—1991年,分别为5.45 d/10 a和3.49 d/10 a。考虑到复合事件的影响和危害越来越大,建议气候变化研究者未来更多地关注复合事件的发生。

       

      Abstract: In recent decades, the impact of drought and hot extremes in Southern China has become increasingly severe, especially when drought and extreme hot extremes occur simultaneously, posing greater risks to the human economy, society, and natural ecological environment.Based on the daily rainfall and maximum temperature data from 264 meteorological stations, we investigated the spatio-temporal variation of compound drought and hot extremes in South China (including Guangxi, Guangdong, Fujian and Hainan provinces) from 1961 to 2021.The results show that the frequency of compound drought and hot extremes increasing in most parts of South China, particularly in the Pearl River Delta region of Guangdong, where the trend is 0.89 days per decade, which most areas of Guangxi show a decrease trend.In terms of the frequency of compound drought and hot extremes, the occurrence frequency from 1992 to 2021 was higher than that from 1961 to 1991, with 5.45 days and 3.49 days, respectively.Considering the increasing impact and risks of compound events, future climate change researchers should pay more attention to their occurrence.

       

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