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    湘江流域2403号台风“格美”暴雨洪水分析

    Analysis of flood caused by Typhoon No.2403 "Gaemi" rainstorm in Xiangjiang River Basin

    • 摘要: 2024年7月26—28日,受2403号超强台风“格美”外围云系影响,湘江流域发生特大暴雨天气过程。此次暴雨中心位于耒水、洣水上游,湘江干流衡阳至株洲沿线及支流涓水区域;点最大3 h、6 h、12 h、24 h时段降雨量均突破湖南省历史极值,引发湘江干流下游发生大洪水,多条支流发生超历史洪水。通过分析降雨时空分布、洪水演进特征,并与2006年0604号台风“碧利斯”暴雨洪水对比表明:此次过程累计降雨量偏多40%,暴雨极端性更强,洪水影响范围更广,东江水库削峰率达79%,防洪效益显著。研究成果可为湘江流域暴雨洪水防御提供科学依据。

       

      Abstract: From July 26 to 28, 2024, under the influence of the peripheral cloud systems of Super Typhoon "Gaemi" (No.2403), a severe torrential rainstorm occurred in the Xiangjiang River Basin. The rainstorm center was located in the upper reaches of the Leishui and Mishui rivers, along the mainstream of the Xiangjiang River from Hengyang to Zhuzhou, and in the Juanshui River tributary area. The maximum point rainfall for 3-hour, 6-hour, 12-hour, and 24-hour durations all broke historical records in Hunan Province. This triggered a major flood in the lower reaches of the Xiangjiang River’s mainstream and historical floods in multiple tributaries. By analyzing the spatiotemporal distribution of rainfall and flood evolution characteristics, and comparing them with the Typhoon Bilis-induced rainstorm flood in 2006, the results indicate that the cumulative rainfall in this event was 40% higher, with greater rainfall extremity, broader flood impact, and a peak flow reduction rate of 79% achieved by the Dongjiang Reservoir, demonstrating significant flood control benefits. The research results can provide scientific basis for rainstorm and flood prevention in Xiangjiang River Basin.

       

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