Abstract:
Based on regional heavy precipitation event with certain predictability, localized extreme heavy precipitation event with poor predictability, and atypical heavy precipitation events causing casualties, the paper analyzes the experiences and shortcomings in decision-making meteorological services for heavy precipitation of Enshi Prefecture, aiming to clarify working approaches and enhance the capacity of decision-making meteorological services for heavy precipitation: ① The combined application of operational mechanisms such as "13101" and "631" can effectively improve the quality and efficiency of decisionmaking meteorological services for heavy precipitation. ②By utilizing multi-source data such as radar extrapolation, grid fused precipitation, and satellite data, the problem of insufficient representativeness in mountainous areas and blind spots in radar monitoring can be alleviated, thereby improving the precision and accuracy of early warning.At the same time, research on riskbased decision-making meteorological services based on special terrain can be carried out to reduce or avoid casualties. ③Enhancing forecasters' skills and sensitivity can improve decision-making meteorological services and strengthen decisionmakers' confidence in making decisions. ④Conducting post-event reviews and feedback on service effectiveness for each case can help addressing shortcomings in decision-making meteorological services.