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    洪水风险图成果在海河“25·7”区域性大洪水防御中的应用

    Application of flood risk map in the "25·7" regional major flood defense of the Haihe River Basin

    • 摘要: 受2025年7月23—29日持续强降雨影响,海河流域潮白河、滦河、大清河等多条河流发生暴雨洪水,其中潮白河发生1959年以来最大洪水。基于洪水风险图模型与相关成果,根据水文监测与预报成果,快速推演了东淀蓄滞洪区及密云水库不同泄流方案下的洪水演进过程,准确判别了“东淀蓄滞洪区不启用”,并分析了不同泄流方案下的潮白河淹没范围,为密云水库下游潮河沿线庄头峪村、辛安庄村、羊山村,潮河与白河汇合口宁村、团结村、新兴村等居民地的堤防巡查防守与人员避洪转移提供了科学参考。实践证明洪水风险图可为防洪风险分析、堤防巡查防守和避洪转移等提供快速决策依据。

       

      Abstract: Affected by persistent heavy rainfall from July 23 to 29, 2025, multiple rivers in the Haihe River Basin, including the Chaobai River, Luanhe River and Daqing River, occurred rainstorm floods. Notably, the Chaobai River experienced its largest flood since 1959. Based on flood risk map models and associated outputs, and informed by hydrological monitoring and forecasting results, the flood evolution processes for both the Dongdian Flood Storage and Detention Area under different discharge scenarios of Miyun Reservoir were rapidly simulated. Based on the simulation results, the decision not to activate the Dongdian Flood Storage and Detention Area was accurately determined, and the inundation extent of the Chaobai River under various discharge scenarios was analyzed. The results provided a scientific references for levee patrols, flood defense and personnel evacuation in residential areas such as Zhuangtouyu Village, Xin′anzhuang Village, Yangshan Village along the Chaohe River downstream of Miyun Reservoir, Ning Village, Tuanjie Village, Xinxing Village at the confluence of Chaohe River and Baihe River. This practical application demonstrates that flood risk maps provide a rapid and reliable basis for decisionmaking in flood risk analysis, levee patrolling and emergency evacuation.

       

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