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    我国山洪灾害防御信息系统建设历程与趋势

    The development history and trends of China's flash flood disaster prevention information system construction

    • 摘要: 山洪灾害防御信息系统是山洪灾害非工程措施的重要组成部分,其建设过程反映了我国山洪灾害防治信息化、体系化和智慧化的发展历程。系统梳理了我国山洪灾害防御信息系统建设的阶段性过程,将其划分为试点探索、全面建设、体系完善和“四预”(预报、预警、预演、预案)能力提升4个阶段,并分析其建设背景、技术演进、阶段成效及存在问题。我国山洪灾害防御信息系统已实现由局部试点向全国覆盖、由分散建设向集约运行、由基础监测预警向“四预”一体化发展的阶段性转变,系统的数据基础、平台功能和业务支撑能力持续增强。但同时,平台协同不足、数据资源挖掘不够、智能研判和辅助决策能力偏弱及基层应用适配性不强等问题仍然存在。未来应围绕基础数据治理、模型算法优化、平台一体化整合和智能决策等方面持续推进建设,进一步提升山洪灾害防御的精准预警、科学调度和综合支撑能力。

       

      Abstract: China's flash flood disaster prevention information system is an important component of non-structural measures for flash flood disasters, and its construction process reflects the evolution of informatization, systematization, and intelligent development in China's flash flood prevention and control. This paper systematically reviews the phased development of China's flash flood disaster prevention information system, dividing it into four stages: pilot exploration, comprehensive construction, system improvement, and“Four Pre's”(forecasting, early warning, rehearsal, and pre-planning) capability enhancement, and analyzes the construction background, technological evolution, stage achievements, and existing problems. The system has achieved phased shifts from local pilot projects to nationwide coverage, from decentralized construction to intensive operation, and from basic monitoring and early warning to integrated“Four Pre's”development. Its data foundation, platform functions, and operational support capabilities have been continuously strengthened. However, problems such as insufficient platform coordination, inadequate data resource mining, weak intelligent analysis and decision support capabilities, and limited adaptability of grassroots applications still remain. In the future, efforts should focus on advancing construction in areas such as fundamental data governance, model and algorithm optimization, platform integration, and intelligent decision-making, so as to further enhance the capabilities of precise early warning, scientific dispatching, and comprehensive support for flash flood disaster prevention.

       

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