收录期刊

    高级检索

    区域协同的防汛物资仓库布局优选研究

    Research on optimal layout of flood control material warehouses based on regional coordination

    • 摘要: 基于韧性城市建设视角,构建了由经济指数、人口指数和风险评估指数构成的防汛物资仓库储备指数模型,并采用熵权法赋权,开展区域协同条件下的仓库布局优选研究。以北京市永定河、北运河和潮白河3条跨行政区河流为对象,选取2018年和2023年沿河行政区地区生产总值、常住人口及水旱灾害危险指数等数据,测算各区防汛物资储备指数及其权重演变特征。结果表明,永定河流域人口指数权重始终最高,丰台区储备指数由0.863升至0.866并持续居首;北运河流域经济指数权重始终最高,朝阳区储备指数达0.973;潮白河流域2023年风险评估指数权重升至0.352并成为主导因素,通州区储备指数由0.795升至0.828且保持最高。在此基础上,结合流域内各行政区指标特征及区位条件、现状仓库布局和历史洪水受灾情况,引入核心仓储备调拨、前置仓快速响应的分级协同结构,分别提出防汛物资仓库布局优化建议。研究结果可为超大城市跨区防汛物资仓库布局优化、应急资源协同配置及韧性城市建设提供科学依据。

       

      Abstract: From the perspective of resilient city development, this study established a flood-control material reserve index model incorporating economic, demographic, and risk assessment indicators. The entropy weight method was employed to determine indicator weights, and a regional collaborative framework was adopted to optimize the spatial layout of flood-control material warehouses. Three trans-administrative rivers in Beijing Municipality—the Yongding River, the Beiyun River, and the Chaobai River—were selected as study areas. Based on data including regional gross domestic product(GDP), permanent resident population, and water-related disaster risk indices for riverside administrative districts in 2018 and 2023, the reserve indices and their evolutionary characteristics were quantitatively evaluated. The results indicate that the population index consistently exhibited the highest weight in the Yongding River Basin, where Fengtai District maintained the highest reserve index,increasing from 0.863 to 0.866. In the Beiyun River Basin, the economic index remained the dominant factor, with Chaoyang District reaching the highest reserve index of 0.973. In the Chaobai River Basin, the weight of the risk assessment index increased to 0.352 in 2023 and became the dominant indicator, while Tongzhou District maintained the highest reserve index,rising from 0.795 to 0.828. Based on the indicator characteristics, locational conditions, existing warehouse distribution, and historical flood impacts of each administrative district, a hierarchical collaborative structure integrating centralized reserve allocation and rapid-response forward warehouses was proposed, and corresponding optimization strategies for flood-control material warehouse layout were developed for each river basin. The findings provide scientific support for optimizing crossdistrict flood-control material warehouse allocation, improving coordinated emergency resource management, and advancing resilient city construction in megacities.

       

    /

    返回文章
    返回